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TAO

TAO
Forming medium conviction 55 days ago

TAO: 3 of 6 conditions met

3 of the 6 conditions of the method are aligned on TAO, with the 4h trend reading up. EMA21 above EMA50 by 1.10% of price. OI rising 1.0% while price is falling 0.1%. ATR14 at 1.87% of price, percentile 65 over 9 days. RSI14 at 47.3. Inside the neutral band 45–55. Funding at percentile 72, inside the usual 20–80 range. 24h volume at 0.90× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

A descriptive reading of the current state of the conditions, with no claim about what follows.

Reading generated by rules. The model's text did not pass the safety check, or the model was unavailable — see the rejection rate on method. · Published 13/08/2026, 14:37 UTC · engine 1.0.0

Market

Reference price
$201.52
median of 4 of 3 exchanges
24h change
0.00%
Latest funding
+0.0050%
Open interest 24h
0.00%

Evidence

3 of 6 conditions aligned

Two or three conditions aligned, or data that supports no more than that.

  • 4h trend: EMA21 against EMA50

    met

    EMA21 above EMA50 by 1.10% of price.

  • 4h momentum: RSI14 outside the neutral band

    not met

    RSI14 at 47.3. Inside the neutral band 45–55.

  • Funding at a 30-day extreme

    not met

    Funding at percentile 72, inside the usual 20–80 range.

  • Open interest diverging from price (24h)

    met

    OI rising 1.0% while price is falling 0.1%.

  • Volatility above the 90-day regime

    met

    ATR14 at 1.87% of price, percentile 65 over 9 days.

  • 24h volume above usual

    not met

    24h volume at 0.90× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

The reading above rests on: trend_4h, oi_divergence, volatility_regime.

Identifier of the data that produced this reading: 535d859f1f0031e9. Two readings with the same identifier started from exactly the same market state.

Descriptive information about market data.

Not investment advice and not a price forecast. Crypto assets carry a high risk of total loss of capital. The method and the full track record are public, including the negative results.