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AVAX

Avalanche
Forming medium conviction 55 days ago

AVAX: 2 of 6 conditions met

2 of the 6 conditions of the method are aligned on AVAX, with the 4h trend reading down. EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.66% of price. OI falling 2.3% while price is rising 2.1%. RSI14 at 55.2. Outside the band, but against the downward trend. Funding at percentile 48, inside the usual 20–80 range. ATR14 at 1.72% of price, percentile 51 over 10 days — below the 60 threshold. 24h volume at 1.39× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

A descriptive reading of the current state of the conditions, with no claim about what follows.

Reading generated by rules. The model's text did not pass the safety check, or the model was unavailable — see the rejection rate on method. · Published 13/08/2026, 14:36 UTC · engine 1.0.0

Market

Reference price
$6.48
median of 5 of 3 exchanges
24h change
0.00%
Latest funding
+0.0037%
Open interest 24h
0.00%

Evidence

2 of 6 conditions aligned

Two or three conditions aligned, or data that supports no more than that.

  • 4h trend: EMA21 against EMA50

    met

    EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.66% of price.

  • 4h momentum: RSI14 outside the neutral band

    not met

    RSI14 at 55.2. Outside the band, but against the downward trend.

  • Funding at a 30-day extreme

    not met

    Funding at percentile 48, inside the usual 20–80 range.

  • Open interest diverging from price (24h)

    met

    OI falling 2.3% while price is rising 2.1%.

  • Volatility above the 90-day regime

    not met

    ATR14 at 1.72% of price, percentile 51 over 10 days — below the 60 threshold.

  • 24h volume above usual

    not met

    24h volume at 1.39× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

The reading above rests on: trend_4h, oi_divergence.

Identifier of the data that produced this reading: dcee9dfc5a1820f5. Two readings with the same identifier started from exactly the same market state.

Descriptive information about market data.

Not investment advice and not a price forecast. Crypto assets carry a high risk of total loss of capital. The method and the full track record are public, including the negative results.