ARB

Watching high conviction 55 days ago

ARB: 5 of 6 conditions met

5 of the 6 conditions of the method are aligned on ARB, with the 4h trend reading down. EMA21 below EMA50 by 1.40% of price. RSI14 at 37.3, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend. OI rising 0.8% while price is falling 4.9%. ATR14 at 2.24% of price, percentile 95 over 9 days. 24h volume at 2.00× the 20-period median. Funding at percentile 60, inside the usual 20–80 range.

A descriptive reading of the current state of the conditions, with no claim about what follows.

Reading generated by rules. The model's text did not pass the safety check, or the model was unavailable — see the rejection rate on method. · Published 13/08/2026, 10:12 UTC · engine 1.0.0

Data quality

Sources with no successful fetch on record: asset:BTC, asset:ETH, asset:SOL, asset:XRP, asset:BNB, asset:DOGE, asset:ADA, asset:AVAX, asset:OP, asset:ATOM, asset:ENA, asset:TAO, asset:APT, asset:ASTER, asset:LINK, asset:SUI, asset:DOT, asset:LTC, asset:HYPE, asset:ZEC, asset:NEAR, asset:ONDO, asset:INJ, asset:FET, asset:VIRTUAL, asset:PAXG, asset:XAUT, asset:AAPLX, asset:TSLAX, asset:NVDAX, asset:GOOGLX, asset:METAX, asset:AMZNX, asset:COINX, asset:HOODX, asset:MCDX, asset:CRCLX, asset:SPCXX; not updated for over 2 min: asset:ARB; failing: asset:ARB.

Market

Reference price: $0.0756; median of 4 of 3 exchanges
24h change: 0.00%
Latest funding: +0.0046%
Open interest 24h: 0.00%

Evidence

5 of 6 conditions aligned

Four or more conditions aligned, on fresh data. Opens a row in the track record.

4h trend: EMA21 against EMA50
met

EMA21 below EMA50 by 1.40% of price.
4h momentum: RSI14 outside the neutral band
met

RSI14 at 37.3, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend.
Funding at a 30-day extreme
not met

Funding at percentile 60, inside the usual 20–80 range.
Open interest diverging from price (24h)
met

OI rising 0.8% while price is falling 4.9%.
Volatility above the 90-day regime
met

ATR14 at 2.24% of price, percentile 95 over 9 days.
24h volume above usual
met

24h volume at 2.00× the 20-period median.

The reading above rests on: trend_4h, momentum_4h, oi_divergence, volatility_regime, volume_confirm.

Identifier of the data that produced this reading: 044730c89cc41527. Two readings with the same identifier started from exactly the same market state.